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Red42
241012.8
235728.7
17637.5
Blue72
742131.2
245712.9
955115.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4946304060704272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.3
21.521.1
Auto9.9
Teleop14.1
End4.7
blue by 2.5
7421
#10
31.22.3
23.926.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.2
End1.9
Second
2410
#26
12.80.6
11.210.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
blue by 2.7
9551
#11
15.53.1
9.812.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Third
1763
#36
7.50.6
9.48.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.4
blue by 5.4
2457
#25
12.91.9
10.212.1
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed