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Red43
580125.3
526812.0
177511.3
Blue37
234512.6
49597.8
882517.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4045305060704337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.1
20.520.5
Auto11.2
Teleop12.9
End1.1
red by 7.8
8825
#24
17.50.9
15.915.0
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End1.8
Second
5268
#34
12.00.1
8.28.3
Auto7.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
blue by 0.7
2345
#27
12.60.9
11.811.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
Third
1775
#18
11.30.1
8.48.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End0.8
red by 3.5
4959
#22
7.80.9
12.111.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed