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Qual 172024 Heartland Regional
Red74
480914.2
198734.8
514115.7
Blue50
742131.2
9378.6
176418.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575201001502007450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#5
34.80.9
31.1→32.0
Auto14.3
Teleop17.4
End3.1
red by 3.6
7421
#10
31.20.2
26.2→26.3
Auto10.1
Teleop19.2
End1.9
Second
5141
#7
15.70.9
11.6→12.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End2.1
blue by 2.9
1764
#12
18.50.2
12.0→12.2
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
4809
#17
14.21.4
8.3→9.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End1.8
red by 5.6
937
#14
8.60.2
9.7→9.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed