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Red50
94458.9
318414.9
198628.6
Blue36
176910.2
256014.5
247022.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52460204060801001205036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.2
24.724.5
Auto12.7
Teleop13.8
End2.2
red by 6.5
2470
#15
22.20.7
17.516.9
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
3184
#29
14.90.2
14.914.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End0.4
red by 0.4
2560
#13
14.50.7
11.811.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Third
9445
#28
8.90.2
7.06.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 1.3
1769
#31
10.20.7
12.712.0
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed