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Red36
18278.3
51899.2
198734.8
Blue48
511916.9
742131.2
177511.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575201001502002503003503648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.0
32.031.0
Auto14.3
Teleop17.4
End3.1
red by 3.6
7421
#10
31.20.0
26.326.4
Auto10.1
Teleop19.2
End1.9
Second
5189
#20
9.21.7
10.08.4
Auto5.9
Teleop3.3
End0.1
blue by 7.7
16.90.0
13.013.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Third
1827
#32
8.31.7
9.27.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.6
blue by 2.9
1775
#18
11.30.0
8.58.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed