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Red28
256014.5
955115.5
241012.8
Blue99
247022.2
514115.7
176418.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38472060802899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9551
#11
15.50.8
14.313.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.0
End0.9
blue by 6.6
2470
#15
22.22.5
16.919.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
2560
#13
14.50.8
11.110.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
blue by 4.0
1764
#12
18.52.5
12.214.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
2410
#26
12.80.8
9.99.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
blue by 2.9
15.71.5
12.514.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned