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Red46
514115.7
94458.9
512616.5
Blue85
235728.7
526812.0
306130.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366220801004685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#16
16.50.1
13.613.7
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 14.1
30.61.9
21.022.9
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End1.6
Second
15.70.0
14.014.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End2.1
blue by 13.0
28.71.1
22.623.7
Auto9.9
Teleop14.1
End4.7
Third
9445
#28
8.90.1
7.98.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 3.1
5268
#34
12.01.9
9.411.3
Auto7.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed