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Qual 32024 Heartland Regional
Red44
171021.4
580125.3
49597.8
Blue25
9378.6
245712.9
241012.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53310204060801004425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#4
25.30.1
19.6→19.5
Auto11.2
Teleop12.9
End1.1
red by 12.4
2457
#25
12.90.4
10.6→10.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Second
1710
#6
21.40.2
15.1→14.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.1
End0.8
red by 8.6
2410
#26
12.80.7
11.8→11.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Third
4959
#22
7.80.2
11.0→10.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End1.5
blue by 0.9
937
#14
8.60.7
8.6→7.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed