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Qual 42024 Heartland Regional
Red30
18278.3
306130.6
19946.3
Blue102
198628.6
198734.8
882517.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347102040608010012030102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#2
30.60.6
16.6→16.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End1.6
blue by 4.2
1987
#5
34.82.8
28.9→31.7
Auto14.3
Teleop17.4
End3.1
Second
1827
#32
8.30.6
10.1→9.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.6
blue by 20.3
1986
#8
28.64.7
18.6→23.2
Auto12.7
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Third
1994
#30
6.30.6
8.4→7.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 11.2
8825
#24
17.54.7
12.6→17.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned