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Red47
49597.8
94458.9
198734.8
Blue42
176910.2
514115.7
19946.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55350204060801004742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.0
31.531.4
Auto14.3
Teleop17.4
End3.1
red by 19.2
15.70.1
14.014.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Second
9445
#28
8.90.1
8.07.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 1.3
1769
#31
10.20.1
12.512.5
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End0.8
Third
4959
#22
7.80.1
8.08.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End1.5
red by 1.5
1994
#30
6.30.1
7.77.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed