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Qual 332024 Heartland Regional
Red54
184711.8
256014.5
198628.6
Blue47
245712.9
882517.5
480914.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5738020801005447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#8
28.60.5
28.1→28.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.8
End2.2
red by 11.1
8825
#24
17.51.1
12.7→13.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End1.8
Second
2560
#13
14.50.5
10.5→11.0
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 0.3
4809
#17
14.21.1
10.8→12.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Third
1847
#35
11.80.5
10.6→11.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 1.1
2457
#25
12.90.7
13.3→13.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsMissed