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Red44
512616.5
51899.2
176418.5
Blue36
18278.3
241012.8
172312.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45310204060804436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#12
18.50.5
16.116.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
red by 5.7
2410
#26
12.80.2
10.110.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Second
5126
#16
16.50.5
13.714.2
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End1.0
red by 4.4
1723
#33
12.10.1
10.410.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Third
5189
#20
9.20.5
9.39.8
Auto5.9
Teleop3.3
End0.1
red by 0.9
1827
#32
8.30.2
8.99.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed