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Qual 412024 Heartland Regional
Red87
93516.2
173029.7
171021.4
Blue75
17637.5
176418.5
198734.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62602040801001208775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#3
29.70.7
23.5→24.2
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End1.9
blue by 5.1
1987
#5
34.80.6
31.4→32.0
Auto14.3
Teleop17.4
End3.1
Second
1710
#6
21.41.2
19.3→20.5
Auto9.5
Teleop11.1
End0.8
red by 2.9
1764
#12
18.50.9
16.7→17.6
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
935
#19
16.21.2
13.3→14.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 8.7
1763
#36
7.50.9
6.5→7.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed