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Red69
580125.3
514115.7
511916.9
Blue14
87196.7
318414.9
526812.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622702040801006914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.8
22.022.8
Auto11.2
Teleop12.9
End1.1
red by 10.4
3184
#29
14.92.1
13.611.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End0.4
Second
16.91.3
15.917.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End2.0
red by 4.9
5268
#34
12.02.1
11.99.7
Auto7.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
Third
15.70.8
14.114.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End2.1
red by 9.0
8719
#23
6.72.1
2.80.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed