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Red36
94458.9
245712.9
247022.2
Blue74
512616.5
882517.5
306130.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46612040801003674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#15
22.20.7
21.721.0
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 8.4
30.61.4
25.326.7
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End1.6
Second
2457
#25
12.90.5
14.113.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 4.7
8825
#24
17.51.4
13.615.0
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End1.8
Third
9445
#28
8.90.7
7.26.5
Auto4.4
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 7.6
5126
#16
16.51.4
14.515.9
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed