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Red44
19946.3
49597.8
235728.7
Blue36
51899.2
184711.8
9378.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47310204060804436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.3
25.325.6
Auto9.9
Teleop14.1
End4.7
red by 16.9
1847
#35
11.80.3
10.410.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Second
4959
#22
7.80.4
6.46.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End1.5
blue by 1.5
5189
#20
9.20.3
9.08.7
Auto5.9
Teleop3.3
End0.1
Third
1994
#30
6.30.4
8.58.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 2.4
937
#14
8.60.3
10.310.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed