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Red28
955115.5
172312.1
50989.2
Blue88
198734.8
256014.5
173029.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348102040601001202888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9551
#11
15.50.8
14.013.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.0
End0.9
blue by 19.3
34.81.3
32.033.3
Auto14.3
Teleop17.4
End3.1
Second
1723
#33
12.10.5
11.210.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.7
blue by 17.7
29.71.3
24.225.6
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End1.9
Third
5098
#21
9.20.5
10.910.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End1.2
blue by 5.4
2560
#13
14.52.1
11.713.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned