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Qual 462024 Heartland Regional
Red51
318414.9
17637.5
742131.2
Blue63
198628.6
93516.2
514115.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4869204060801001205163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7421
#10
31.20.3
27.2→27.5
Auto10.1
Teleop19.2
End1.9
red by 2.6
1986
#8
28.60.2
30.2→30.1
Auto12.7
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Second
3184
#29
14.90.5
11.5→12.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End0.4
blue by 1.3
935
#19
16.20.2
14.5→14.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Third
1763
#36
7.50.5
7.4→7.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.4
blue by 8.1
5141
#7
15.70.1
14.9→14.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed