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Red37
176910.2
18278.3
511916.9
Blue61
580125.3
241012.8
176418.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3958020801003761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.1
17.217.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End2.0
blue by 8.4
25.30.7
22.823.5
Auto11.2
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Second
1769
#31
10.20.1
12.812.7
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End0.8
blue by 8.3
1764
#12
18.51.1
17.618.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
1827
#32
8.30.1
7.57.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.6
blue by 4.5
2410
#26
12.81.1
10.011.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed