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Red37
256014.5
512616.5
9378.6
Blue33
172312.1
51899.2
49597.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47260204060803733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#16
16.50.3
15.915.6
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End1.0
red by 4.4
1723
#33
12.10.5
10.711.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Second
2560
#13
14.50.3
13.713.5
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 5.3
5189
#20
9.20.7
8.79.4
Auto5.9
Teleop3.3
End0.1
Third
937
#14
8.60.3
10.19.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End1.6
red by 0.9
4959
#22
7.80.7
6.87.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed