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Red46
198628.6
49597.8
245712.9
Blue78
176418.5
955115.5
235728.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5366204060801001204678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.5
28.628.2
Auto12.7
Teleop13.8
End2.2
blue by 0.1
28.71.0
26.727.7
Auto9.9
Teleop14.1
End4.7
Second
2457
#25
12.90.4
13.212.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 5.7
1764
#12
18.51.3
17.318.6
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
4959
#22
7.80.5
7.57.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End1.5
blue by 7.8
9551
#11
15.51.3
14.315.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed