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Red60
198734.8
9378.6
234512.6
Blue55
512616.5
184711.8
318414.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684102060801001206055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.3
34.534.1
Auto14.3
Teleop17.4
End3.1
red by 18.4
5126
#16
16.50.9
15.616.5
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Second
2345
#27
12.60.5
13.913.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
blue by 2.3
3184
#29
14.90.9
13.614.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End0.4
Third
937
#14
8.60.5
9.89.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 3.2
1847
#35
11.80.9
11.111.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed