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Red64
94458.9
306130.6
480914.2
Blue53
580125.3
17637.5
18278.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59452040801006453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.6
28.429.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End1.6
red by 5.3
25.30.0
25.625.6
Auto11.2
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Second
4809
#17
14.20.6
14.715.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End1.8
red by 5.9
1827
#32
8.30.0
8.38.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Third
9445
#28
8.90.6
8.79.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 1.4
1763
#36
7.50.0
8.78.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed