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Qual 652024 Heartland Regional
Red63
882517.5
256014.5
742131.2
Blue64
50989.2
171021.4
511916.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6752204060801006364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7421
#10
31.20.3
26.9→27.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.2
End1.9
red by 9.8
1710
#6
21.40.0
22.0→22.0
Auto9.5
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Second
8825
#24
17.50.3
17.8→18.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End1.8
red by 0.6
5119
#9
16.90.0
16.5→16.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Third
2560
#13
14.50.3
14.3→14.6
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 5.4
5098
#21
9.20.0
10.4→10.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned