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Red59
245712.9
235728.7
177511.3
Blue59
172312.1
176910.2
198734.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57642040801005959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.7
Auto9.9
Teleop14.1
End4.7
blue by 6.2
34.8
Auto14.3
Teleop17.4
End3.1
Second
2457
#25
12.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 0.8
1723
#33
12.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Third
1775
#18
11.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End0.8
red by 1.1
1769
#31
10.2
Auto5.6
Teleop3.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed