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Qual 682024 Heartland Regional
Red36
176418.5
480914.2
93516.2
Blue52
9378.6
514115.7
306130.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58593040507080901003652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#12
18.51.2
20.3→19.1
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.8
blue by 12.1
3061
#2
30.60.5
29.0→28.5
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End1.6
Second
935
#19
16.21.2
17.0→15.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 0.5
5141
#7
15.70.4
15.9→15.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Third
4809
#17
14.21.2
15.3→14.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End1.8
red by 5.6
937
#14
8.60.5
8.7→8.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed