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Red45
18278.3
171021.4
256014.5
Blue20
49597.8
50989.2
318414.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52340204060804520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.0
22.022.0
Auto9.5
Teleop11.1
End0.8
red by 6.5
3184
#29
14.91.0
13.812.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End0.4
Second
2560
#13
14.50.0
14.614.6
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 5.4
5098
#21
9.20.9
10.49.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Third
1827
#32
8.30.0
8.38.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.6
red by 0.5
4959
#22
7.81.0
8.77.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed