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Red70
955115.5
882517.5
580125.3
Blue54
17637.5
512616.5
198628.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666140801001207054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.0
25.625.7
Auto11.2
Teleop12.9
End1.1
blue by 3.3
28.61.2
29.228.0
Auto12.7
Teleop13.8
End2.2
Second
8825
#24
17.50.0
18.118.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End1.8
red by 1.1
5126
#16
16.51.2
17.816.6
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Third
9551
#11
15.50.0
15.615.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.0
End0.9
red by 8.0
1763
#36
7.51.2
8.87.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed