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Red41
511916.9
241012.8
51899.2
Blue24
19946.3
234512.6
94458.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45300102040506070804124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.2
16.516.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End2.0
red by 4.3
2345
#27
12.60.4
13.012.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
Second
2410
#26
12.80.2
12.612.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.4
red by 3.9
9445
#28
8.90.4
9.28.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
5189
#20
9.20.2
9.59.7
Auto5.9
Teleop3.3
End0.1
red by 3.0
1994
#30
6.30.4
6.66.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed