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Red25
99985.7
492616.6
5387.3
Blue88
745742.0
75166.0
32531.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29880204060801001201401602588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#18
16.60.9
19.218.3
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 25.4
42.01.0
39.240.3
Auto13.1
Teleop22.9
End6.0
Second
538
#19
7.30.9
7.26.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 24.4
325
#3
31.71.0
29.530.5
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Third
9998
#13
5.71.5
6.85.3
Auto1.8
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
blue by 0.3
7516
#16
6.01.0
3.94.9
Auto1.0
Teleop4.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned