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Red101
174133.2
384315.1
23424.2
Blue24
49314.4
99964.6
55418.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82260406010012014016010124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.3
30.932.2
Auto9.8
Teleop20.5
End2.9
red by 15.2
554
#8
18.00.3
18.618.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Second
234
#10
24.21.3
24.625.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.1
End1.2
red by 19.7
9996
#20
4.60.5
3.02.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Third
3843
#14
15.11.3
11.712.9
Auto9.0
Teleop6.2
End-0.1
red by 10.8
4931
#21
4.40.3
6.66.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed