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Red79
278322.5
174133.2
99985.7
Blue23
23424.2
5387.3
99977.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67330204060801001201407923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.1
32.233.3
Auto9.8
Teleop20.5
End2.9
red by 9.0
234
#10
24.21.0
25.924.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.1
End1.2
Second
22.51.1
19.820.9
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 15.2
538
#19
7.31.0
6.45.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End1.4
Third
9998
#13
5.71.9
5.37.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
blue by 1.5
9997
#17
7.11.6
5.53.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed