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Red59
492616.6
55418.0
320126.4
Blue54
99964.6
17209.8
745742.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725902040801001205954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#11
26.41.3
27.025.7
Auto12.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
blue by 15.6
42.00.1
38.938.9
Auto13.1
Teleop22.9
End6.0
Second
554
#8
18.01.3
18.417.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
red by 8.2
1720
#15
9.80.1
11.511.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Third
4926
#18
16.61.3
18.016.7
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End2.2
red by 12.0
9996
#20
4.60.1
2.52.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsEarned