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Red46
174133.2
381414.9
49314.4
Blue62
32531.7
278322.5
649824.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5685020401001201401604662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.7
33.332.6
Auto9.8
Teleop20.5
End2.9
red by 1.5
325
#3
31.70.7
30.229.5
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End2.7
Second
14.90.7
14.714.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.4
blue by 9.9
24.80.7
22.121.4
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Third
4931
#21
4.40.7
6.15.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.0
End2.3
blue by 18.1
22.50.7
20.920.1
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed