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Red40
99964.6
23424.2
94919.5
Blue52
17209.8
99977.1
549215.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452902060801001204052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#10
24.20.1
24.925.0
Auto5.9
Teleop17.1
End1.2
red by 8.6
15.60.8
15.216.0
Auto7.5
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Second
9491
#12
9.50.1
9.29.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End2.0
blue by 0.3
1720
#15
9.80.8
11.512.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Third
9996
#20
4.60.1
2.62.8
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 2.6
9997
#17
7.11.3
3.95.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed