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Red57
174133.2
32531.7
17209.8
Blue69
549215.6
278322.5
745742.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8383607080901005769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.2
32.631.5
Auto9.8
Teleop20.5
End2.9
blue by 8.8
42.00.4
38.938.5
Auto13.1
Teleop22.9
End6.0
Second
325
#3
31.71.2
29.528.3
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End2.7
red by 9.2
22.50.4
20.119.7
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Third
1720
#15
9.81.2
12.311.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 5.8
15.60.4
16.015.6
Auto7.5
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned