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Red35
94919.5
492616.6
49314.4
Blue41
55418.0
99977.1
381414.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35371020304050603541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#18
16.60.4
16.716.3
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 1.4
554
#8
18.00.2
17.317.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Second
9491
#12
9.50.4
9.38.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End2.0
blue by 5.4
14.90.2
14.013.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Third
4931
#21
4.40.4
5.45.0
Auto2.1
Teleop0.0
End2.3
blue by 2.8
9997
#17
7.10.3
5.14.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed