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Red56
99985.7
150129.9
23424.2
Blue41
384315.1
649824.8
99964.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7538020601001201401605641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.5
30.329.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.1
End5.1
red by 5.1
24.80.1
21.421.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Second
234
#10
24.20.5
25.024.5
Auto5.9
Teleop17.1
End1.2
red by 9.1
3843
#14
15.10.1
12.913.0
Auto9.0
Teleop6.2
End-0.1
Third
9998
#13
5.70.8
7.56.8
Auto1.8
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
red by 1.1
9996
#20
4.60.2
2.83.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed