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Red32
49314.4
23424.2
320126.4
Blue43
75166.0
94919.5
649824.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673402060801001201403243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#11
26.41.6
26.725.1
Auto12.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
red by 1.6
24.80.5
21.522.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Second
234
#10
24.21.6
24.522.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.1
End1.2
red by 14.7
9491
#12
9.50.5
8.99.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Third
4931
#21
4.41.6
5.03.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.0
End2.3
blue by 1.6
7516
#16
6.00.5
4.85.3
Auto1.0
Teleop4.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed