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Red44
278322.5
492616.6
99964.6
Blue83
150129.9
745742.0
384315.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399802060801201401604483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.2
20.720.9
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End3.0
blue by 19.5
42.00.1
39.539.6
Auto13.1
Teleop22.9
End6.0
Second
4926
#18
16.60.2
16.216.4
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 13.3
29.90.1
28.528.7
Auto6.8
Teleop18.1
End5.1
Third
9996
#20
4.60.3
4.34.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 10.5
3843
#14
15.10.1
13.213.3
Auto9.0
Teleop6.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed69%Ensemble oddsMissed