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Red57
99977.1
174133.2
492616.6
Blue78
649824.8
745742.0
23424.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631090501502005778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.6
34.033.5
Auto9.8
Teleop20.5
End2.9
blue by 8.8
42.01.0
41.740.7
Auto13.1
Teleop22.9
End6.0
Second
4926
#18
16.60.6
22.522.0
Auto9.1
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 8.2
24.81.0
23.622.6
Auto7.6
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Third
9997
#17
7.11.0
9.08.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 17.1
234
#10
24.21.0
27.926.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsEarned