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Red67
320126.4
99985.7
32531.7
Blue45
278322.5
55418.0
94919.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8558020401001201401606745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#3
31.70.8
31.630.8
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End2.7
red by 9.2
22.51.0
21.020.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Second
3201
#11
26.40.8
33.833.0
Auto12.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
red by 8.4
554
#8
18.01.3
19.318.0
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Third
9998
#13
5.71.3
8.57.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
blue by 3.9
9491
#12
9.51.0
15.114.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed