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Qual 12024 Bayou Regional
Red77
473839.2
566521.6
222110.3
Blue90
347840.9
36417.7
748312.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6062507080907790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#2
39.20.9
32.9→33.8
Auto14.7
Teleop22.0
End2.6
blue by 1.7
3478
#1
40.91.9
32.9→34.8
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
Second
5665
#11
21.60.9
18.4→19.3
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End0.5
red by 3.9
364
#18
17.71.9
13.4→15.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
Third
2221
#26
10.30.9
5.7→6.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.0
blue by 1.8
7483
#33
12.11.9
7.5→9.5
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed