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Red95
142118.3
804433.8
406525.1
Blue24
96998.2
346818.7
59654.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions763202040601001201409524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8044
#12
33.81.6
31.633.2
Auto10.2
Teleop20.5
End3.1
red by 15.1
3468
#28
18.70.8
16.515.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Second
25.12.2
18.320.5
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 16.9
9699
#49
8.20.4
8.27.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End0.5
Third
1421
#10
18.31.6
13.615.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
red by 13.6
5965
#51
4.71.3
8.57.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed