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Red44
18187.1
433626.4
93095.3
Blue52
709415.1
57855.7
347840.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396602060801001204452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#24
26.40.4
25.425.8
Auto11.4
Teleop12.6
End2.4
blue by 14.5
40.91.0
34.833.8
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
Second
1818
#48
7.10.6
10.411.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 8.0
7094
#29
15.11.0
13.012.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
9309
#31
5.30.4
2.52.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End0.7
blue by 0.3
5785
#47
5.71.7
8.77.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed