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Red40
547226.8
408712.7
36417.7
Blue70
527616.3
880825.8
410728.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53670204060801001204070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#16
26.80.6
22.822.2
Auto10.0
Teleop14.8
End2.1
blue by 2.0
28.80.6
23.424.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
Second
364
#18
17.70.6
15.414.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
blue by 8.1
8808
#30
25.80.6
22.322.9
Auto11.8
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Third
4087
#44
12.70.6
11.410.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
blue by 3.5
5276
#17
16.30.6
13.614.2
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed