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Red45
20808.9
361624.8
618414.7
Blue53
406525.1
97087.4
255617.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33510204060801004553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#20
24.80.9
17.918.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End3.1
blue by 0.3
25.10.8
20.521.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
6184
#42
14.71.0
8.69.6
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End1.0
blue by 2.6
2556
#15
17.30.8
14.915.8
Auto7.4
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
2080
#19
8.91.1
5.46.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End1.6
red by 1.5
9708
#37
7.41.0
8.39.4
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed