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Red42
748312.1
37539.2
191220.9
Blue44
96998.2
45625.9
218319.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30500204060801004244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#36
20.90.8
13.314.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.7
blue by 5.0
456
#14
25.90.1
19.619.7
Auto9.4
Teleop15.0
End1.5
Second
7483
#33
12.10.8
9.510.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.6
End0.7
blue by 7.6
19.70.1
15.115.2
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End0.9
Third
3753
#41
9.20.8
6.67.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End0.5
red by 1.0
9699
#49
8.20.2
7.88.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed