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Red45
18187.1
410728.8
142118.3
Blue66
453121.7
20808.9
473839.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54670204060801001204566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.4
24.023.6
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End2.4
blue by 10.4
39.20.5
33.734.2
Auto14.7
Teleop22.0
End2.6
Second
1421
#10
18.30.4
15.615.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4
blue by 3.4
4531
#13
21.70.5
18.619.0
Auto9.9
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
1818
#48
7.10.6
11.010.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 1.8
2080
#19
8.90.5
6.57.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned