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Red85
552615.7
191220.9
361624.8
Blue72
222110.3
93095.3
908437.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48490204060801008572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#20
24.82.1
18.820.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.1
End3.1
blue by 12.5
37.30.8
35.236.1
Auto15.5
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Second
1912
#36
20.92.1
14.216.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.7
red by 10.6
2221
#26
10.30.8
6.47.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End-0.0
Third
5526
#21
15.72.1
10.812.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.9
End-0.2
red by 10.4
9309
#31
5.30.8
2.93.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned